Race by Race

Greatrex at 27% yard form is the dominant signal in this field; a class drop, a strong prior win marker in the form string, and 9/2 represents fair value for the most in-form stab…

Distance and going both tick positively, Tudhope holds the best jockey strike rate in the field at 18%, and the steamer move says the market knows something the form string 020-00…

Model-topping 6.76 score driven by the field's strongest market move, credible speed score, and positive form — steaming from 16/1 to 9/2 despite a weight penalty is the clearest …

Back-to-back wins in form string (698711), goes well on soft, and arrives on a light weight of 9-0 — Easterby's yard at 12% is modest but the horse's own profile is the tell here.

Three-year-old on a progressive form arc, three odds-on starts, Haggas at 19% and Marquand booked. Distance fit confirmed (D:+) on soft ground. The right favourite.

Steamed into 5/1 from 20/1 over last three runs; the only named prominent runner gives it a pace advantage. Form finishing 221 is solid but the class rise is a small worry.

Candlish yard at 17%, Oisin Orr booked, and a steamer into 15/2 from a most-recent SP of 5/2F — this horse knows how to finish in the frame and the market is with it.

Form string of 439331 finishing with a win, going fit confirmed (GF:+), Ivan Furtado's yard running at 16% — a 12/1 drifter worth watching for each-way purposes.

Unbeaten in three, drops a class, Gosden yard at 31% strike rate — the 113-day absence is the only counter-argument, and a hot stable doesn't bring this filly back cold.

Form reads 1-13 with two wins at the head of the market; returning from 169 days but Richard Hughes's yard is firing at 17% and this three-year-old has shown a consistent ability …

Three runs, form 412, beaten just over a length last time at 5/1 — class rise is the flag but a 12lb pull in the weights and David Egan in the saddle makes this each-way live at 1…

Deterministic score of 6.01, distance plus flag, and a form string showing four placed efforts from five runs at six furlongs — cleaner credentials than the steamer Big Cigar whos…

The strongest market move in the field lifts it to the top of the model ranking, and Fahey's yard is ticking over at 12% — but two consecutive poor runs stop it going to slot 1.

Three runs, two wins, consecutive big-price shortening in the SPs suggests rapid improvement; Tom Marquand at 16% is the sharpest jockey booking in the field.

Distance positive, going positive, class level, two consecutive market-favourite endorsements from Tinkler's yard, and a closing form figure of 3. Every core filter aligns.

Fifth in the model on speed, Tim Easterby at 14% yard form, and a significant 19lb weight drop from last run makes him dangerous late in a big field.