All Ways Glamorous Has Done The Hard Work
A career-best last run, a favourable draw, and a yard in form — the model and the form line point the same way
All Ways Glamorous arrives here off a 2/1 winning last run — read that form string right to left and you see a horse that has progressively tightened through '391' and landed in a win. She steps up two classes today, which is the one flag the model rightly docks her for, but this is a 14-runner 5f handicap on good to firm ground at Ascot, and her going fit and distance fit are both marked positively. That combination of sharp recent form, favourable ground, and a trainer in Christopher Mason posting 14% over the last fortnight is not a small hand in a race where half the field either has trainer yards running at 0% or is taking a meaningful class jump into the unknown.
The danger is real and it comes from two directions — Rocking Ends, who ran just seven days ago and whose Tom Clover yard is scorching at 36%, and Getreadytorumble, the hold-up horse who is dropping a class, likes this ground, and Tom Marquand has booked. But All Ways Glamorous carries 9-4, she has been dropped 11lb from the last run weight, she is proven at the trip, and the form-line win at 2/1 last time out represents the kind of finishing evidence the market respects. She wins this.
The Shape of the Race
Sir Yoshi and Bassenthwaite are the designated pace-setters and both are likely to push forward from the stalls, creating at least a workable early tempo over five furlongs at Ascot. Getreadytorumble is the lone named hold-up runner and will need the pair upfront to burn themselves out. With eleven runners whose style is uncertain, the pace could thicken midfield. Two genuine front-runners in a sprint typically sets up a race where closers catch the front pair late — which suits All Ways Glamorous, who arrives with positive recent form, and Rocking Ends, who finished off well on her last outing.
The Storylines
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Tom Clover's yard on fire Tom Clover is operating at a 36% strike rate over the past 14 days — the hottest yard in this race — and Rocking Ends is his live runner.
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Getreadytorumble's class drop Dropping one class and carrying 9-12, Getreadytorumble's last SP of 6/1 signals market confidence that wasn't there at 66/1 two runs ago.
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Oisin Murphy on a dead-form horse Emperor Spirit's last form character reads '0-202D' — a disqualification included — yet Oisin Murphy at 22% career strike rate is the best jockey booking in the race.
How it Finishes
LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.
All Ways Glamorous
Topped the deterministic model, going fit positive, distance fit positive, a win last time at 2/1, and an 11lb weight drop onto 9-4. The class rise is the only negative and the form argues it's earned.
Rocking Ends
Ran seven days ago and is clearly fit, going fit positive, and Tom Clover at 36% is the standout trainer stat in the race — dangerous at 8/1.
Getreadytorumble
Class drop, positive going and distance fit, and a market that has moved from 66/1 to 6/1 over three runs — Tom Marquand takes this hold-up horse into the mix late.
Indian Run
Recent form reads '7-8921' — three consecutive improvement runs — going fit is positive and the model rates her fourth; 13/2 is workable each-way money.
The bet is All Ways Glamorous, win, at 6/1 — 2 units. The model puts her top, the form string backs it, the ground and trip fit both read positive, and a 14-day trainer strike rate of 14% is solid without being misleading. The class rise two levels is the argument against her, but a horse who won at 2/1 last time and receives an 11lb pull on the weights has been given the tools to compete here. Mr Fox has not flagged this race in the notebook, so there is no dissent to register. Rocking Ends at 8/1 with Clover's yard running hot is the each-way alternative if you want cover — but this is a win bet on the model's top pick at a fair price.