Must Believe (GB) — Horse Explorer | Saturday Racing

Career Trajectory

last 11 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 50
Win %: 27%
Placed %: 45%
Trend: Climbing

Course Record

7 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Kempton (AW) — well clear of the 45% career baseline.

Kempton (AW) SPEC 67% 2-0-3
Southwell (AW) 50% 1-0-2
Chelmsford (AW) 0% 0-0-2
Haydock 100% 0-1-1
Wolverhampton (AW) 100% 0-1-1
Goodwood 0% 0-0-1
Lingfield (AW) 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

8 jockeys · 2 trainers

Jockeys

Hector Crouch 67% 1-1-3
Tommie Jakes 50% 1-0-2
Charlie Bennett 100% 0-1-1
Jack Dace NOW 100% 1-0-1
Alec Voikhansky 0% 0-0-1
Jack Callan 0% 0-0-1
Mason Paetel(5) 0% 0-0-1
Saffie Osborne 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Ismail Mohammed 40% 2-2-10
George Baker NOW 100% 1-0-1

Going Record

11 classifiable runs

Allrounder Handles a range — peak 67% on Good to Soft, but no surface bias jumps out.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 100% 0-1-1
Good 29% 1-1-7
Good to Soft 67% 2-0-3
Soft — 0 runs
Heavy — 0 runs

Distance Record

11 classifiable runs

Specialist Pure middle horse — 62% in-the-money at 1m1f – 1m4f.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f — 0 runs
Mile 7f – 1m1f — 0 runs
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 62% 3-2-8
Staying ≥ 1m4f 0% 0-0-3

Recent Runs

last 10 races · newest first

1st/10 4 May 2026 28 days ago

Kempton (AW)
- 1m3f
- Standard To Slow
- Class 5
won 0 OR 72 -1

Jack Dace

Midfield - switched left and headway from over 1f out - led but faced challenge inside final 110yds - kept on(op 17/2 tchd 6/1 and tchd 9/1)
5th/13 4 Feb 2026 117 days ago

Kempton (AW)
- 1m3f
- Standard To Slow
- Class 5
- Visor
btn 1.5 OR 73 -1

Mason Paetel

Raced wide early - prominent - briefly led over 1f out - weakened inside final 110yds(op 8/1)
4th/7 15 Jan 2026 137 days ago

Chelmsford (AW)
- 1m5½f
- Standard
- Class 5
- Visor
btn .5 OR 74 +1

Hector Crouch

Led - increased tempo from over 3f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/2)
2nd/10 20 Dec 2025 163 days ago

Wolverhampton (AW)
- 1m4f
- Standard
- Class 5
- Visor
btn 1.5 OR 73 +4

Hector Crouch

Prominent - led inside final furlong - headed and no extra final 110yds(tchd 7/2)
1st/11 26 Nov 2025 187 days ago

Southwell (AW)
- 1m3f
- Standard
- Class 5
- Visor
won 0 OR 69

Hector Crouch

Prominent - ridden to lead over 2f out - kept on well(op 5/1 tchd 6/1)
4th/5 30 Oct 2025 214 days ago

Chelmsford (AW)
- 1m5½f
- Standard
- Class 5
- Visor
btn .5 OR 69 +2

Alec Voikhansky

Prominent - hung left and weakened from over 1f out (jockey said gelding hung left-handed)(op 6/4)
1st/13 18 Sep 2025 256 days ago

Kempton (AW)
- 1m3f
- Standard To Slow
- Class 5
- Visor
won 0 OR 67 -1

Tommie Jakes

Held up in midfield - raced wide from 3f out - good headway from 2f out - ran on inside final furlong - led towards finish (trainer said -…
7th/11 28 Jul 2025 308 days ago

Southwell (AW)
- 1m6f
- Standard
- Class 5
- Visor
btn 4.5 OR 68 -2

Tommie Jakes

Raced wide - midfield - headway and in touch with leaders over 6f out - short of room and lost position over 2f out - switched left and no…
7th/8 19 Jun 2025 347 days ago

Lingfield (AW)
- 1m2f
- Standard
- Class 5
- Visor
btn 13 OR 70

Jack Callan

No stalls used - always behind (jockey said gelding never travelled after flag start)(op 7/1 tchd 15/2)
5th/13 13 Jun 2025 353 days ago

Goodwood
- 1m2f
- Good
- Class 5
- Visor
btn .75 OR 70

Saffie Osborne

Towards rear - in touch with leaders over 3f out - steady headway over 1f out - outpaced towards finish(tchd 10/1)