May
Oisin Murphy takes the round with 11 winners.
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The Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Billy Loughnane | Oisin Murphy | Rossa Ryan | William Buick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins to date | 74 AHEAD | 67 | 52 | 35 |
| Prize (£) | £2,160,727 AHEAD | £1,714,366 | £549,490 | £1,837,214 |
| Races run | 0 AHEAD | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strike rate | 0.0% AHEAD | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Projected wins | 133 AHEAD | 120 | 93 | 62 |
Round 1
Every month is a round. Whoever added the most winners takes the round; the running score builds toward the final decision.
Oisin Murphy takes the round with 11 winners.
Billy Loughnane takes the round with 27 winners.
Billy Loughnane clears out — 34 winners, 7 clear of the pack.
Billy Loughnane clears out — 30 winners, 5 clear of the pack.
Round 2
Wins per riding day. It’s the form check — is anyone getting hotter, is anyone cooling off?
Billy Loughnane finding another gear — the rate is accelerating, the gap is opening.
Round 3
The lines meet at today, then extrapolate to season end. The gold band is where the truth probably lives — the 95% cone around the leader’s projection.
TOO CLOSE TO CALL
The projection has Billy Loughnane ahead by 13 — but the 95% bands overlap. This one goes to the wire.
133 winners to 120 · 95% band 110–155
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