Binhareer
Dark Angel × Silk Bow (Elusive City)The numbers point here first and most clearly. An SR of 113 ties for top of the 28-runner card, sits within touching distance of a career best of 110, and an OR …
Binhareer carries the strongest data profile in the race and the Haggas-Marquand combination sets the bar — but Far Above Dream at 14/1 in the favoured draw is the value play of the afternoon.
Mr Fox's predicted finish — the four horses to keep on the radar. Form, figures and a verdict apiece below.
The numbers point here first and most clearly. An SR of 113 ties for top of the 28-runner card, sits within touching distance of a career best of 110, and an OR …
At 14/1 this is the value proposition the Wokingham almost always hides in plain sight. The SR of 98 is legitimate for a horse rated 99, the form of 101-11 shows back-to-back …
The case for Evening Saigon is thin but it exists. Stall 24 is arguably the best draw position in the race, Hamad Al Jehani runs at a 24% career strike rate — …
Two of three model priors land on Double Rush and the case is not without merit — SR 113 matches Binhareer at the top of the card, an OR of 105 is …
Every horse, every angle. Ratings, pedigree, jockey bookings and Mr Fox's capsule note — or the API spotlight when the editor hasn't overlaid their own take.
Buick and Gosden at 24% trainer SR is a powerful combination, but OR 108 is the tallest handicap task in the field and form 7638-2 shows consistent placing without winning — top-three each-way at best.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 7638-2
Placed when beaten a neck in a Listed race at Salisbury 28 days ago, Spy Chief is winless in his last five starts but that runner-up effort brings him close to his best; he handles today's trip and ground, though 7f could test his stamina, and he's run well at this track before.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
OR 107 is a stiff task for a horse whose SR of 87 suggests it is operating below that level, and Silvestre De Sousa at 14% career SR is the weakest jockey booking among the fancied contenders.
Form figures: 3-123
Last run: 20 Jun 2026
Consistent profile here, with that Salisbury Listed third last time arguably flattering the bare figures given traffic issues — yet still carrying 137 lb off a mark of 107 leaves little room for manoeuvre, even if there's improvement to come at this trip on suitable ground.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Form 967120 is erratic and SR 84 with OR 105 means this horse is rated well above the level its recent performances suggest — 33/1 reflects a horse going the wrong way.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 967120
Scored narrowly in a Sprint Handicap at this mark three starts back before a poor latest effort, and first-time headgear plus a trainer in form add appeal — but 84 days off and a mark that may stretch him keep this a tentative each-way proposition at best.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Two of three model priors land on Double Rush and the case is not without merit — SR 113 matches Binhareer at the top of the card, an OR of 105 is the highest in the field, and two consecutive wins is the sort of form momentum that counts in a race where morale matters. Andrew Balding runs at 19% career and Shane Foley is a competent operator. The reason Double Rush lands here as place insurance rather than the anchor is stall 4 — in a 28-runner field, a low draw on the stands rail creates a real traffic risk for a horse whose form profile suggests it wants to race prominently. The OR of 105 also means the handicapper has responded to those two wins and the horse may be meeting the field right at its ceiling. Solid top-three material, but the draw cost makes it the second choice.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 320-11
Back-to-back wins — the latest a comfortable success at Newmarket off a mark 10lb lower than today's — mark Double Rush as the one to beat here, and a top course handler takes the reins on a horse still looking ahead of its current official rating despite the penalty.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
A seven-year-old with SR 76 and form 70/2-0 that includes a gap and a blank — the freshness signal at 84 days means nothing when the underlying profile is this weak at 33/1.
Form figures: 70/2-0
Last run: 20 Jun 2026
Fitness must prove itself after 84 days away, with recent outings — including a poor effort in the Cammidge Trophy — leaving wellbeing in question; yet Mitbaahy is effective over this trip on any ground, and a bounceback to his placed form would make him a live midfield contender from stall 27.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
The numbers point here first and most clearly. An SR of 113 ties for top of the 28-runner card, sits within touching distance of a career best of 110, and an OR of 104 confirms this is a horse operating at the right level rather than one flattered by a softer grade. William Haggas runs at a 22% career strike rate — one of the most reliable numbers in training — and Tom Marquand's 14% career figure is complemented by a working partnership with this stable that has produced big-field winners before. The form reading of 2361-2 shows a horse who places consistently without always winning, but the last run was a second that suggests the penny may be dropping at four. The one mild concern is stall 6 in a 28-runner field — low draws can get caught in traffic — but Marquand is experienced enough to find daylight, and the class margin over most in this field is sufficient to overcome a length's inconvenience.
Form figures: 2361-2
Last run: 20 Jun 2026
Beaten a neck at York last time off a 5lb lower mark, Binhareer arrives here on the upgrade and looking capable of Listed/Group-level company, while a stiff track at today's trip plays to her strengths; 38 days between runs is the one note of caution.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
112 days off the track and form 5-1200 showing two consecutive zeros — the freshness signal is drowned out by a lack of recent evidence and SR 83 is short of the required standard.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 5-1200
Took a handicap by a short-head off this identical mark at Meydan in January, yet two unplaced efforts since suggest the handicapper has its measure, and 106 days off the track adds another question mark — albeit a form trainer and first-time headgear offer some encouragement.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 81 against an OR of 103 is a 22-point gap that needs answering, and form -31247 trends in the wrong direction — 66/1 is a price, not a recommendation.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: -31247
Beaten a long way on a turf return in a Listed heat last time, Heathcliff looks to have plenty to prove on grass and sits at the foot of our rankings — though a winning profile over the trip and decent AW form provide slim crumbs of comfort.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Oisin Murphy at 22% SR is a positive but the form -30712 is patchy and SR 85 doesn't warrant confidence at 25/1 when cleaner profiles are available at shorter prices.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: -30712
Touched off by a head last time out having encountered interference at a crucial point, Dubai Bling arrives in decent nick but carries 132lb from stall 23 in first-time cheekpieces, and a mark of 102 looks stiff for a horse our figures rank 25th of 28.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 89 and OR 102 are decent numbers for 18/1, and Jason Watson can ride big fields — but form 71-045 tails off at the wrong moment and there is no hot-streak signal to justify confidence.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 71-045
Listed winner in fair form and effective over today's trip on this going, Royal Zabeel brings solid credentials to stall 3 in a large field — though having found one too good for stamina close home when beaten two and a quarter lengths off this mark here last time, there are questions over whether it can go one better.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
119 days off the track and form 37/4-4 that has never threatened a win at this level — SR 76 is the lowest meaningful reading in the race and 28/1 does not compensate.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 37/4-4
Yet to score in recent starts, Leovanni was making ground when hampered at Lingfield last time and shaped better than a two-length fourth suggests; a former Group winner now fitted with a tongue-tie returning from 119 days off, there's upside here if sharper for the break.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 75 is the lowest in the field and form 2056-0 ends with a zero — nothing in the data profile supports engagement at any price in the Wokingham.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 2056-0
Winless in recent starts but this second outing after a wind operation should see significant improvement — the York run was always about getting fit again. Capable of setting a strong pace over today's trip and going, though stall 7 may complicate that front-running style.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
OR 100 with an SR of 80 and form 01-830 that includes three consecutive deteriorations — 50/1 reflects the reality that this horse has gone backwards since its earlier wins.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 01-830
Patchy recent form and a mark that looks tough to overcome are the main concerns, but first-time cheekpieces and a notable jockey booking add interest, and Caburn does handle this trip and going well enough to be competitive if producing a career-best.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
A seven-year-old at 100/1 with form 870180 and a 5lb claimer in the saddle — the price says everything the data confirms.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 870180
Narrowly got up at Chester three starts back off a 5lb lower mark, but has been out of the frame twice since and the 100 rating looks a stiff ask — ranked near the foot of our assessments, first-time visor added from stall 12.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Form 2310-6 ends with a blank and SR 82 with OR 100 gives no margin for error at 28/1 — Cox at 14% career SR is the weakest trainer figure among the market-represented handlers.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 2310-6
Fitted with a hood for the first time and carrying 130 lb from stall 26, Flash Harry has course-and-distance form to call on and has shown he can bounce back after a flat outing — his Salisbury run last time may have been needed on quicker ground than ideal, but fast conditions today suit, and a return to winning form isn't out of the question.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Form -22631 ends with a win but SR 82 and OR 100 are mid-table metrics at best — 28/1 is fair odds for a horse that places more than it wins in this grade.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: -22631
Thriving for a new yard after landing a Thirsk handicap last time, this US Listed winner arrives on a mark that still looks workable and has course-distance form to lean on, though that sixth in recent starts and a possible preference for faster ground give slight pause at 130 lb from stall 1.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
At 14/1 this is the value proposition the Wokingham almost always hides in plain sight. The SR of 98 is legitimate for a horse rated 99, the form of 101-11 shows back-to-back wins and a genuine hot streak at a time of year when that matters most, and stall 17 is precisely the sort of high-draw position that has historically delivered in this race. James Owen is a 17% career trainer — not a star figure, but not a number to dismiss either — and Kieran Shoemark knows how to ride a big-field straight-course sprint having won at this level before. The two consecutive wins suggest confidence and a horse in form, while an OR of 99 means the handicapper has not yet fully caught up. At 14/1, the each-way terms in a 28-runner field (typically five places) make this the most defensible bet on the card beyond the favourite.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 101-11
Progressive and course-loving, but ranked 23 of 28 on our figures and lugging 129 lb from stall 17 off a career-high mark makes this a tough ask, despite four wins in the last five starts and a tendency to keep finding improvement.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 96 is solid for a 10/1 shot and the market respects this at a shorter price than the form figures justify — Jamie Spencer can be patient in big fields, but -48802 is not the form of a winner.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: -48802
Fitted with cheekpieces for the first time, Ten Pounds shaped with real promise when runner-up by just half a length in a Carlisle Listed contest last time out, and looks fairly handicapped off a mark of 99 with today's longer trip an additional plus — he can carry his head awkwardly under pressure.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Ryan Moore at 28% career strike rate is the loudest jockey signal in the race and SR 101 is respectable, but form reading 4-1100 shows the last two runs blank — needs a bounce-back.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 4-1100
Cheekpieces fitted for the first time could spark the turnaround after being left with it all to do from the rear at this course last time; yet to be beaten for today's jockey and progressive on this surface, though two unplaced efforts in recent starts demand respect.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 78, form 514-60, and a trainer operating at modest strike rates — there is nothing in this profile to justify a bet at 66/1 against 28 rivals in a heritage handicap.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 514-60
Thunderbear has yet to hit its stride this season and comes into this ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, with an unplaced effort last time out doing little to inspire confidence. A proven performer over the trip on varying ground at least offers some encouragement after 54 days off.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 79 and OR 98 with form 00416- reading right to left — the last run is a blank and there is no positive signal strong enough to make 28/1 attractive in this company.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 00416-
Took the Ayr Silver Cup by two lengths off a 6lb lower mark two starts back, but flopped in Listed company most recently and returns after a 259-day absence; the trainer is in good nick and this trip and ground suit, though Candy may need the run to find full stride.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
An apprentice booking, SR 79, and form -11770 that has collapsed since two early wins — 40/1 correctly prices a horse that has not threatened in its last three starts.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: -11770
Beaten 8¼ lengths at York last time after being sent to the front too soon, Fast Track Harry has since slipped to the bottom of the rankings despite two earlier wins in this sequence; he looks fully exposed to the assessor now, and first-time cheekpieces offer little obvious rescue from stall 21.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
An eight-year-old with form 082939 and SR 85 in a race this competitive — Soumillon's booking adds intrigue but the age profile and recent figures are both pointing the wrong way.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 082939
Held every chance at Epsom 14 days ago but beaten five-plus lengths below form, leaving questions; yet to win in his last six starts, though the 2nd and 3rd suggest ability, his mark of 97 looks fair and he handles today's conditions.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
The case for Evening Saigon is thin but it exists. Stall 24 is arguably the best draw position in the race, Hamad Al Jehani runs at a 24% career strike rate — the highest trainer figure in the entire field — and Callum Rodriguez at 17% is a jockey who converts. The first-time hood (p) can sharpen a horse that has looked in need of a mental switch, and the form line of /10-12 includes a recent placing after 68 days off the track, which the FRESH signal rates positively. The SR of 84 is modest for a 20/1 shot in this grade, and there is no disguising the fact that this horse needs to find roughly 15 lengths on the data versus the top two. This is strictly a 'if the draw magic works and everything clicks' angle — take it small each-way and nothing more.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: /10-12
Cheekpieces go on for the first time, and there is some encouragement in a neck second last time off a mark of 92 — though today's conditions see this lightly raced sort stepping up 5lb, and ranked 20 of 28 on our figures, the case for it is thin.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Second string from the Haggas yard (SR 103, OR 97) with James Doyle booked — the stable's number two, but Haggas at 22% SR means even the second pick is worth monitoring each-way at 17/2.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 017-91
Cheekpieces did the trick at Carlisle 21 days ago when Realign won a handicap by 1¼l, but today's higher mark looks a stiff ask; acts on any turf ground over this trip and the trainer is firing at 37%, yet that 5lb rise in the official rating may take the edge off him.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
A recent win closes the form on 5-5631 but SR 78 is well below the threshold required to compete with the top six in this field — stall 26 is the only positive.
Form figures: 5-5631
Last run: 20 Jun 2026
Landed a Goodwood handicap by a neck 13 days ago, dropping in class and getting a clear passage, and remains fairly treated on older French form — but ranked 22 of 28 on our figures, carrying 127 lb from stall 8 makes the task considerably stiffer here.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Form 723-01 ends with a win and stall 27 is as good as it gets for draw advantage — SR 87 and a 20/1 price mean each-way terms are the only sensible entry point.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 723-01
Sondad brings a recent win at Epsom on his side — taking a handicap by two lengths off a reduced mark — and a solid course record with proven versatility on the going, but ranked 21st of 28 on our figures, first-time headgear adds an unknown, and he faces a big field from stall 2 carrying 127 lb off a restored official mark of 97.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 77, form 210-04 ending in consecutive blanks, and bottom weight at 9-0 — a 40/1 outsider with no live signal in any of the four relevant data layers.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 210-04
Showed a return to form when a staying-on fourth at Windsor 26 days ago, beaten three lengths off this same mark, but the official rating of 96 looks a stiff ask; effective at five-to-six furlongs on sound ground, though that late fade raises questions about lasting home.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Mr Fox's four to follow on the ratings ladder. The highest in each row pulls the page-gold treatment.
| Rank | Horse | OFR | RPR | TS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 6 Binhareer | 104 | — | — |
| #2 | 17 Far Above Dream | 99 | — | — |
| #3 | 24 Evening Saigon | 97 | — | — |
| #4 | 4 Double Rush | 105 | — | — |
Saddle-cloth numbers below — tap any stall to jump straight to the horse's capsule.
Binhareer is the call. The SR 113 at the top of a 28-runner card, an OR of 104 that represents genuine class in a heritage handicap, and the Haggas-Marquand operation firing at combined strike rates that put most rivals to shame — the data aligns cleanly enough to take a position. The stall 6 draw requires Marquand to be alert in the first two furlongs, but this is not a rider who gets caught flat-footed in big fields. Back Binhareer win and each-way, and use Far Above Dream at 14/1 as the value top-up — stall 17, back-to-back wins, and an OR the handicapper hasn't moved enough on yet. Double Rush each-way completes the coverage at a price that reflects genuine quality if the draw cooperates.
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