Night Raider
Night Raider heads the story-score rankings with a total of 16, built on the strongest individual signals in the field: SR 98 (joint-top bracket), an OR of 112 which is second only …
Race-day Read · Tuesday 16 June 2026
View full racecard
King Charles III Stakes
Night Raider is the one the data builds a case for — SR 98, OR 112, Doyle up, and a trainer running at 19% — back him and move on.
Off in
15:40
Course
Ascot
Distance
5f
Going
Good to Firm
The Fox's Call
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Four to follow.
Mr Fox's predicted finish — the four horses to keep on the radar. Form, figures and a verdict apiece below.
Mission Central
Mission Central carries the single most compelling combination of jockey and trainer credentials in the entire field: Ryan Moore at 28% career strike rate paired with Aidan O'Brien at 24% — no …
Behike
A three-year-old with a form line of 3-11 — won last two — arriving at Royal Ascot for George Scott, who runs at 18% career strike rate. The OR of 100 looks …
Rosy Affair
Rosy Affair has the highest SR on the card at 100, has been placed in her last three starts (form reads 121 in that sequence), and arrives with Billy Loughnane — a …
The Field
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: HIGH
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: LOW
Fox's Verdict
Confidence: MEDIUM-HIGH
26 declared runners.
Every horse, every angle. Ratings, pedigree, jockey bookings and Mr Fox's capsule note — or the API spotlight when the editor hasn't overlaid their own take.
Ain't Nobody
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 84
AI rating
SP 100/1
Current
- Jockey
- Kevin Stott
- Trainer
- Kevin Ryan
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
007-09
5 runs · 0 wins · 0 places
Form 007-09 — three zeros in the sequence at a Royal Ascot Group 1 is a firm pass.
- Expected improvement Low
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 007-09
Winless in its last five starts and again disappointing at York last time, Ain't Nobody is very erratic and not always resolute, though first-time headgear may sharpen focus, and it does hold course-and-distance form on today's ground.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
American Affair
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 99
AI rating
SP 15/2
Current
- Jockey
- Paul Mulrennan
- Trainer
- Jim Goldie
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
151-02
5 runs · 2 wins · 1 place
SR 99, OR 111, course winner — six-year-old form 151-02 hints at inconsistency.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Likely
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 151-02
Won this race last year and arrives in decent nick after finishing second in a Group 2 on latest start, so course-and-distance form stacks up well; the 133 lb burden from stall 18 is the obvious query, though a progressive return to form suggests fitness is no concern.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Big Mojo
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 99
AI rating
SP 14/1
Current
- Jockey
- Tom Marquand
- Trainer
- Michael Appleby
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
2510-7
5 runs · 1 win · 1 place
OR 117 highest on card but form 2510-7 is badly out of sorts — avoid.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 2510-7
Beaten five lengths in a Group 2 last time out, that run probably needed after 34 days off, Big Mojo is well-suited by today's 6f on fast ground and holds strong claims off 117 — the risk is getting caught too far back again as last year here showed.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Cover Up
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 89
AI rating
SP 33/1
Current
- Jockey
- James McDonald
- Trainer
- Simon & Ed Crisford
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
41-138
5 runs · 2 wins · 1 place
80 days off, headgear change, form 41-138 — too many question marks at Group 1.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 41-138
Held every chance on form credentials — acts on any going over 5f — but well held in a Group 1 last time and ranks 22nd of 26 on our figures; the first-time headgear and 80-day break add further uncertainty for a horse that simply may not be up to this level.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Getreadytorumble
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 89
AI rating
SP 66/1
Current
- Jockey
- Callum Rodriguez
- Trainer
- Jack Channon
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
213-37
5 runs · 1 win · 3 places
OR 101 is the lowest in the main group — too far off the pace on ratings.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 213-37
Beaten five lengths in a Group 2 last time — fair enough form — and Listed-placed with good prior profile, but ranked 21 of 26 on our figures and needs more improvement again to trouble these; the wide draw in a large field adds no help.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Jakajaro
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 95
AI rating
SP 25/1
Current
- Jockey
- Jamie Spencer
- Trainer
- Robert Cowell
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
57-114
5 runs · 2 wins · 0 places
Already listed above — chamber backing noted but form line unconvincing.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 57-114
Shaped well when fourth in a Group 2 last time, going down by just 1¼ lengths only near the finish, and two wins in its last five starts show the progressive profile — yet stepping into this grade still leaves plenty to find.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Jm Jungle
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 88
AI rating
SP 40/1
Current
- Jockey
- Jason Hart
- Trainer
- John & Sean Quinn
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
160-49
5 runs · 1 win · 0 places
Form 160-49 — the 9 last time out tells you what you need to know.
- Expected improvement Low
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 160-49
Shock Group 2 winner last year, but JM Jungle has failed to recapture that form this season, beaten seven lengths in a Group 2 last time — hard to fancy at these weights from stall 14, even if the trip and going hold no fears.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Night Raider
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 98
AI rating
SP 13/2
Current
- Jockey
- James Doyle
- Trainer
- K. R. Burke
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
450-11
5 runs · 2 wins · 0 places
Night Raider heads the story-score rankings with a total of 16, built on the strongest individual signals in the field: SR 98 (joint-top bracket), an OR of 112 which is second only to Big Mojo (117) and Overpass (116) among exposed older horses, James Doyle at 20% career strike rate, and K R Burke operating at 19%. The form reads 450-11 — two consecutive wins to arrive here — and a record that shows he has progressed through the grades rather than flattered to deceive at lower level. Burke does not send horses to Royal Ascot Group 1s to make up the numbers; when his sprinters arrive in this kind of form they are meant to run a big race. The concern is the absence of an RPR and no spotlight data to verify the quality of those last two wins, but on the objective metrics available — SR, OR, jockey SR, trainer SR — no horse in this field stacks up more columns in favour.
- Key strength SR 98 — joint-highest bracket in the field
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 450-11
Back-to-back wins culminate in a career-best Temple Stakes Group 2 success at Haydock last time out, and with conditions and trip squarely in favour, Night Raider arrives in fine trim just 24 days later — the main risk is whether the bold front-running style holds up at this level.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Overpass
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 98
AI rating
SP 5/2
Current
▼ Steamer — shortened from 11/4 → 5/2
- Jockey
- Joshua Parr
- Trainer
- Bjorn Baker
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
9423-4
5 runs · 0 wins · 2 places
OR 116 and SR 98 look enticing, but form 9423-4 offers no winning thread.
- Expected improvement Low
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 9423-4
Consistent G1 performer whose T J Smith Stakes fourth (beaten 2l) sets the standard here, and dropping in trip to a stiff track plays to his strengths; yet to win in recent starts but rates clear top on our figures and will be tough to peg back.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Rumstar
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 92
AI rating
SP 16/1
Current
- Jockey
- Rob Hornby
- Trainer
- Jonathan Portman
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
5560-2
5 runs · 0 wins · 1 place
SR 92, OR 110 — no win signals in form 5560-2, six-year-old declining curve.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 5560-2
Returned to form with a close second in a Group 3 on fast ground latest, and suits today's trip and conditions well; yet to score in recent starts and faces a stiff ask at this level after being outclassed here last year, but is clearly in better shape now.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Shagraan
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 97
AI rating
SP 50/1
Current
- Jockey
- Hector Crouch
- Trainer
- Clive Cox
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
121-30
5 runs · 2 wins · 2 places
SR 97, OR 107, course winner — but form 121-30 shows a recent backward step.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Likely
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 121-30
Beaten favourite last time in the Temple Stakes but holds Listed-class form over this trip and going — a multiple winner at this level who retains claims stepping back from Group company, though that Haydock flop leaves a question mark hanging over current form.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Starlust
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 88
AI rating
SP 33/1
Current
▲ Drifter — out from 28/1 → 33/1
- Jockey
- Rossa Ryan
- Trainer
- Ralph Beckett
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
0/74-6
4 runs · 0 wins · 0 places
OR 109 but form 0/74-6 — that gap in the record and recent blank say enough.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 0/74-6
Showed Group 1 class and ran encouragingly in this race last year, but winless in recent starts and must prove that sharpness is back after a stud sabbatical; the Carlisle Listed run 17 days ago should strip fitness forward.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Asfoora
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 98
AI rating
SP 9/1
Current
▲ Drifter — out from 17/2 → 9/1
- Jockey
- Oisin Murphy
- Trainer
- Lemos De Souza
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
171-00
5 runs · 2 wins · 0 places
SR 98, OR 113, Oisin Murphy up — but form 171-00 shows two blanks heading here.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 171-00
Defends her 2024 crown here, but two unplaced efforts this term — including a poor showing on easy ground at Haydock last time — raise questions about current form; the tongue-tie is new, fast ground suits, and a bounce-back from this proven G1 winner can't be dismissed.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Azure Angel
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 90
AI rating
SP 100/1
Current
▼ Steamer — shortened from 100/1 → 80/1
- Jockey
- Daniel Tudhope
- Trainer
- Edward Bethell
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
81-615
5 runs · 2 wins · 0 places
Tongue-tie and blinkers, form 81-615 — needs things to go perfectly, rarely does.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 81-615
Azure Angel steps up sharply in class after a creditable Listed effort last time, but at 130 lb from stall 25 and ranked 24 of 26 on our figures, the step into this grade looks a tough ask — first-time blinkers are a plus, though.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
First Instinct
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 93
AI rating
SP 80/1
Current
▲ Drifter — out from 66/1 → 80/1
- Jockey
- Cieren Fallon
- Trainer
- William Haggas
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
5410-9
5 runs · 1 win · 0 places
Haggas/Fallon is a strong combo but form 5410-9 is plainly going the wrong way.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 5410-9
Landed a G3 success in recent starts but has disappointed twice since, including a 6½-length beating last time out 45 days ago; acts on today's going and distance, yet improvement is needed if that winning form is to resurface.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Frost At Dawn
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 92
AI rating
SP 40/1
Current
- Jockey
- William Buick
- Trainer
- William Knight
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
430-08
5 runs · 0 wins · 1 place
Buick up is the appeal, but form 430-08 and visored — not to be trusted here.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 430-08
Winless in recent starts and below-par at Haydock last time on easy ground, Frost At Dawn has the course-and-distance form and wears first-time cheekpieces that may spark a revival, though a disappointing 2025 campaign so far leaves plenty to prove from stall 3.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Heavenly Heather
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 80
AI rating
SP 66/1
Current
▼ Steamer — shortened from 80/1 → 50/1
- Jockey
- Barry McHugh
- Trainer
- Tracy Waggott
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
152542
6 runs · 1 win · 2 places
SR 80 is the lowest in the field; OR 92 is 20lb off the top — out of her depth.
- Expected improvement Low
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 152542
Beaten just 2¼ lengths when second at York latest, Heavenly Heather has been progressive, but ranked last of 26 on our figures and drawn in stall 22, this looks a big ask at the weights.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Mgheera
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 85
AI rating
SP 50/1
Current
▲ Drifter — out from 40/1 → 50/1
- Jockey
- Kieran Shoemark
- Trainer
- Ed Walker
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
865-65
5 runs · 0 wins · 0 places
SR 85 is the lowest credible runner; form 865-65 offers nothing at this level.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 865-65
Winless in its last five starts and ranked well down our figures in a competitive field, Mgheera does at least have course-and-distance form on today's going and shaped with credit when beaten two lengths in a Group 2 last time, hinting at residual class.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Miss Attitude
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 83
AI rating
SP 66/1
Current
- Jockey
- Ronan Whelan
- Trainer
- Jack Channon
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
10-745
5 runs · 1 win · 0 places
OR 101, triple headgear, form 10-745 — a Group 1 field will find her out quickly.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 10-745
Beaten five lengths in a Group 3 last time after missing the break, Miss Attitude's recent form reads consistently enough but she needs more to be competitive at this level, and ranked near the foot of our assessments, first-time cheekpieces must do the heavy lifting from stall 16.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Monteille
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 94
AI rating
SP 50/1
Current
▼ Steamer — shortened from 50/1 → 40/1
- Jockey
- Cristian Demuro
- Trainer
- Mario Baratti
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
816-75
5 runs · 1 win · 0 places
Italian raider, form 816-75 — travelling a long way with no grounds for confidence.
- Expected improvement Low
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 816-75
Consistent Group winner in France who ran creditably when beaten two lengths in a Group 1 last time out, but fast ground remains a concern and the 80-day absence gives pause — capable of mixing it, though conditions may again blunt the edge.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Rayevka
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 93
AI rating
SP 6/1
Current
▼ Steamer — shortened from 13/2 → 6/1
- Jockey
- Mickael Barzalona
- Trainer
- F-H Graffard
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
26-561
5 runs · 1 win · 1 place
Won last start, French raider — insufficient UK data to oppose outright, watch price.
- Expected improvement Low
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 26-561
Rayevka arrives in form after a convincing Group 3 win at Longchamp 37 days ago, benefitting from a drop in trip and grade, and ran well at this very meeting last year — stiff 5f on today's going looks ideal, though 130lb and a field of 26 pose stiff tasks.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Rosy Affair
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 100
AI rating
SP 25/1
Current
▲ Drifter — out from 20/1 → 22/1
- Jockey
- Billy Loughnane
- Trainer
- George Boughey
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
411-21
5 runs · 3 wins · 1 place
Rosy Affair has the highest SR on the card at 100, has been placed in her last three starts (form reads 121 in that sequence), and arrives with Billy Loughnane — a jockey operating at 18% career strike rate who has been in fine touch for George Boughey (17%). The OR of 108 puts her firmly in the mix. She is the insurance policy for any punter who has Night Raider as the anchor: if the Burke horse meets trouble in a 26-runner cavalry charge, Rosy Affair's consistency and current form suggest she will be in the frame. The wide stall (#22) is a minor inconvenience but Loughnane is a sharp enough pilot to deal with it. She is not the headline act, but in a race this competitive you want a horse running in form, and a form line ending in 21 is precisely that.
- Key strength SR 100 — highest rated on the card
- Expected improvement High
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 411-21
Rosy Affair arrives on the back of a Listed win at Haydock 25 days ago and has won three of her last five starts, but stepping up in class looks the key question for this progressive mare, who handles today's trip and conditions well enough.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Time For Sandals
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 89
AI rating
SP 22/1
Current
▲ Drifter — out from 16/1 → 18/1
- Jockey
- Richard Kingscote
- Trainer
- Harry Eustace
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
137-58
5 runs · 1 win · 1 place
Form 137-58 has gone cold; OR 109 is flattering a horse not running to it.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 137-58
Landed the Commonwealth Cup at this very meeting 12 months ago, so course form reads perfectly, and a trainer firing on all cylinders adds to the appeal after a first-run reappearance at York that arguably underflattered — there should be more to come. The wide draw from stall 9 is the one factor to weigh.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Aspect Island
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 94
AI rating
SP 100/1
Current
- Jockey
- Silvestre De Sousa
- Trainer
- James Owen
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
133-73
5 runs · 1 win · 3 places
Three-year-old with visors, form 133-73 — the 7 in the sequence is a red flag.
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 133-73
Consistent sprinter who ran a game race when a close third in Listed company last time out, but has been placed at the highest level and this demands even more again; the first-time visor is an interesting move, though, and 117 on our ratings suggests there's ability to exploit.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Behike
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 94
AI rating
SP 28/1
Current
- Jockey
- David Egan
- Trainer
- George Scott
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
3-11
3 runs · 2 wins · 1 place
A three-year-old with a form line of 3-11 — won last two — arriving at Royal Ascot for George Scott, who runs at 18% career strike rate. The OR of 100 looks light against the older brigade but three-year-olds receive a weight allowance and the data shows Behike with SR 94, comfortably within the top cluster on the card. The story score of 12 is built almost entirely on genuine positive signals rather than jockey-trainer noise: two consecutive wins at the top of the form line is the loudest alarm bell an outsider can ring. The risk is obvious — this is a step from wherever those wins came to a Royal Ascot Group 1 with 25 rivals — but if the handicapper has simply not caught up with a rapidly improving three-year-old, the morning-line price will be generous. David Egan at 14% is not a deterrent.
- Key strength Won last 2 starts — HOT_STREAK signal (w5)
- Expected improvement High
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 3-11
Boasts back-to-back wins including a cosy novice success at Lingfield last time, but steps up sharply in grade now and, ranked 20th of 26 in the field, this looks a big ask so early in its career.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Mission Central
2.0
Fox's conviction
SR 102
AI rating
SP 10/1
Current
▲ Drifter — out from 9/1 → 10/1
- Jockey
- Ryan Moore
- Trainer
- A P O'Brien
TS
—
Not published
RPR
—
Not published
Form
610-11
5 runs · 3 wins · 0 places
Mission Central carries the single most compelling combination of jockey and trainer credentials in the entire field: Ryan Moore at 28% career strike rate paired with Aidan O'Brien at 24% — no other pairing in this 26-runner field comes close to that dual firepower. The SR of 102 is the highest on the card, and at OR 110 the rating is live for a Group 1 contest. The form 610-11 shows two consecutive victories coming into Royal Ascot, and three-year-olds receiving weight from older horses in this race have a credible historical record. The stall draw (#26) is the one genuine concern — wide draws in 26-runner sprints at Ascot demand an immediate tactical decision — but Moore is precisely the jockey you want making that call. At a price likely to drift from the favourite bracket given the wide draw, this is the bookmaker's miscalculation.
- Key strength Ryan Moore: 28% career strike rate
- Expected improvement Medium
- Track suitability Unclear
- AI Chamber score 99/100
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 610-11
Confirmed the improvement shown as a two-year-old by winning a Listed sprint at Naas last time out, and still progressing with a top course jockey aboard; the step back to five furlongs from stall 24 on 127 lb may test, as connections likely prefer six.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Side-by-side
The top picks on the figures.
Mr Fox's four to follow on the ratings ladder. The highest in each row pulls the page-gold treatment.
| Rank | Horse | OFR | RPR | TS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 8 Night Raider | 112 | — | — |
| #2 | 26 Mission Central | 110 | — | — |
| #3 | 25 Behike | 100 | — | — |
| #4 | 22 Rosy Affair | 108 | — | — |
Stalls & Surface
The grid at a glance.
Saddle-cloth numbers below — tap any stall to jump straight to the horse's capsule.
Going Good to Firm
Distance 5f
Class Class 1
Prize £396,970
1
Ain't Nobody
2
American Affa…
3
Big Mojo
4
Cover Up
5
Getreadytorum…
6
Jakajaro
7
Jm Jungle
8
Night Raider
9
Overpass
10
Rumstar
11
Shagraan
12
Starlust
13
Asfoora
14
Azure Angel
15
First Instinct
16
Frost At Dawn
17
Heavenly Heat…
18
Mgheera
19
Miss Attitude
20
Monteille
21
Rayevka
22
Rosy Affair
23
Time For Sand…
24
Aspect Island
25
Behike
26
Mission Centr…
The Fox's Verdict
Race-day call.
Night Raider is the play, backed with Mission Central each-way at a hopefully inflated price given the wide draw. In a 26-runner Group 1 sprint, discipline matters more than optimism — concentrate the stake on the two horses with the strongest converging signals (SR, OR, jockey strike rate, trainer strike rate, recent form) and leave the rest of this overcrowded field to the market. Rosy Affair goes in as the place cover if Night Raider meets a wall of horses, which in a race this size is not a remote possibility. The Behike each-way angle is purely speculative and should be sized accordingly — a small return on a three-year-old potentially ahead of the handicapper, nothing more.
The Fox's Ticket
- 2pt win Night Raider tba
- 1pt e/w Mission Central tba
- 0.5pt e/w Behike tba
- 0.5pt win Rosy Affair tba
Suggested staking. Please gamble responsibly — 18+ only, BeGambleAware.org.
The Honest Record
We publish our score.
Every Pin gets a verdict. Every verdict gets logged. The Pack keeps tabs — see how Mr Fox is stacking up.
This week
Cubs vs Fox
The leaderboard shows the live standings — this Pin
settles into the week's record as soon as the off-time bell
rings and the result lands.
See the live leaderboard →
Mr Fox's call here
Night Raider
One-line read on the Fox's nap. Watch this space for the settled result — we'll add a 🏆 / 2nd / 3rd badge as soon as the race runs.