Venetian Sun
The headline figure is blunt: SR 124 is not only the top of this card, it stands 8 points clear of the next-best rated horse in the field (Havana Anna at 116), …
Venetian Sun's SR 124 is the highest number on the racecard by a distance — in a Group 1 sprint, that gulf in raw ability is the bet.
Mr Fox's predicted finish — the four horses to keep on the radar. Form, figures and a verdict apiece below.
The headline figure is blunt: SR 124 is not only the top of this card, it stands 8 points clear of the next-best rated horse in the field (Havana Anna at 116), …
At 12/1 with an SR of 116 — second only to Venetian Sun — Havana Anna is the most underrated horse on raw performance metrics in this field. The form sequence 1220-1 …
Wesley Ward's three-year-olds at Royal Ascot are a recurring handicapper's blind spot, and the yard's record at the meeting warrants attention regardless of the price. Outfielder's form reads 410-11, meaning the horse …
If Venetian Sun underperforms, the most likely beneficiary from the data is Charles Darwin: SR 112 (joint-top of the remainder), a prior course win at Ascot, and a three-race winning streak give …
Every horse, every angle. Ratings, pedigree, jockey bookings and Mr Fox's capsule note — or the API spotlight when the editor hasn't overlaid their own take.
Ryan Moore's 28% strike rate and SR 112 make him dangerous at 11/2 but the form 11-632 flags that he's been beaten by better lately — watch rather than commit.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 11-632
Went agonisingly close when a neck away in Listed company at Newbury last time, and with a top course jockey aboard and more to offer, Albert Einstein shapes as a serious threat here; the worry is whether that consistent recent form can be converted into the win column.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 84 is among the weakest in the field, form 33-730 includes a '0', and the visored runner from a lower-ranked yard has no realistic route to the frame at 40/1.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 33-730
Winless in its last five starts, Aspect Island steps back up to 6f in a first-time visor, and there's a case it wasn't entirely seen to best effect when beaten five lengths in a Group 1 here last time — yet stepping up in class looks the chief obstacle despite proven versatility over the trip.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Five placed efforts without a win (222-64) and SR 86 from the O'Brien third string — the tongue-piece and cheekpieces suggest connections are hoping, not expecting.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 222-64
Cheekpieces applied for the first time as Brussels, yet to win in his last five starts, returns 27 days on from a beaten fourth in the Sandy Lane Group 2 — a performance that mirrored his three-year-old debut. Handles today's trip and conditions, but whether he can rediscover the level he showed as a juvenile remains the question.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
If Venetian Sun underperforms, the most likely beneficiary from the data is Charles Darwin: SR 112 (joint-top of the remainder), a prior course win at Ascot, and a three-race winning streak give the profile substance. The blinkers suggest connections want to sharpen his focus in a 22-runner Group 1, which in itself speaks to confidence. At 12/1, the A P O'Brien and Ryan Moore combination that has delivered a 28% and 24% strike rate respectively is a significant pairing, even if Ryan Moore takes the reins on stablemate Albert Einstein here — Lordan is no downgrade.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 111-18
Consistent winner of four of his last five starts, Charles Darwin arrives in fine fettle and is well-suited by today's trip and conditions — blinkers added for the first time could sharpen him up after a flat reappearance. The worry is whether that nine-length defeat still lingers.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
A prior Ascot win is always relevant on this track, and SR 112 with Rossa Ryan gives him a genuine each-way case — Mr Fox's tip, and not without foundation at 12/1.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 3153-1
Placed in the Middle Park and a neck winner of the Commonwealth Cup Trial on this course last time out, Coppull clearly handles today's conditions and trip well — though 49 days off the track and a mark of 110 leave questions about whether he returns to that peak.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
William Haggas at 22% strike rate with James Doyle aboard keeps Division on the shortlist, but SR 110 and form 115-32 suggest he's solid rather than explosive.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 115-32
Beaten three lengths when runner-up in a Group 2 last time, Division arrives fit and proven over course and distance from stall 3 in this field of 22, but a tall, powerfully built colt who likely needs further to fulfil his potential may find this trip just sharp enough.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
A prior course win is the one hook, but SR 82 and form 2346-3 paint a horse who has been regressing — 33/1 is about right and he won't factor at the business end.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 2346-3
Consistent performer that ran to form on return from a break with a third in the Carnarvon Stakes at Newbury 34 days ago, showing it handles the trip and conditions. Yet to win in its last five starts, though, and may need more to trouble the market leaders from stall 10.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Three consecutive wins (21-111) is a signal worth noting even at 40/1, though SR 93 and an obscure trainer make this a speculative play rather than a structured case.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 21-111
Consistent profile – four wins in last five starts including a narrow Group 3 success at Chantilly – but our figures rank this well down the field, and that French form will need a significant step forward to trouble today's rivals.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 89, an 83-day absence, and odds of 80/1 — the two recent wins came in modest company and there's no pathway to a Group 1 frame from this profile.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 59-110
Beaten eight lengths in a Group 1 last time, Northern Champion heads into this ranked well down our assessments and faces a stiff ask stepping back out after 83 days; the two wins earlier in Dubai show there is ability here, but a bounce-back is needed against stronger company.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Wesley Ward's three-year-olds at Royal Ascot are a recurring handicapper's blind spot, and the yard's record at the meeting warrants attention regardless of the price. Outfielder's form reads 410-11, meaning the horse won its last two starts and arrives on a going-the-right-way trajectory. The SR of 100 is not spectacular in this company but is respectable, and the tongue tie suggests connections are maximising conditions. At 20/1, one model lens identified the value here — and Ward runners on the Ascot straight six are never easily dismissed.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 410-11
Tongue tie applied for the first time and 41 days between runs raise questions, and at 128lb from stall 21 this needs to defy our figures as a 19th-ranked runner — though genuine pace and back-to-back wins suggest it's not without ability at this trip on fast ground.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 89 with a pace cap on (cheekpieces) and form 9226-6 — that '9' alongside three consecutive defeats makes this a token entry rather than a genuine Group 1 contender.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 9226-6
Cheekpieces fitted for the first time as Rock On Thunder attempts to reverse two below-par sixth-place finishes, yet to build on a promising Gimcrack effort; handles today's trip and conditions, though 128 lb from stall 22 is no easy ask.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Form 111-24 shows a horse who was winning everything before dropping away — the class step up to Group 1 looks the issue here, and 25/1 doesn't compensate enough.
Form figures: 111-24
Effective over six or seven furlongs on cut ground and boasting three wins in its last five starts, Samangan's fourth-place finish in a Chantilly Group 3 latest shows ability, but ranked 20th of 22 on our figures, it simply looks to need more to get involved here.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 101 is lower than his OR of 108 implies he should be, and 64 days off the track adds uncertainty — Clive Cox knows Ascot, but this is needing things to go right.
Form figures: 125-41
Last run: 19 Jun 2026
Landed a Listed prize at Newbury last time out and remains on the upgrade, though a large field from stall 2 adds a tactical question mark; acts on today's trip and going, and 128 lb looks the main test of whether progress continues.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 75 is the lowest of the field, form 794-00 shows two consecutive blanks, and 150/1 is the market applying its own brutal but fair verdict.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 794-00
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Super Soldier was well beaten at York just six days ago and that quick turnaround offers little encouragement. Carries 128 lb from stall 12, though he has form over today's trip and conditions.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Charlie Appleby's 28% strike rate and SR 112 is a live combination at 10/1, but recent form 131-54 shows a horse going the wrong way since his peak.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 131-54
Showed a return to form when four lengths off the pace in Listed company at Newbury last time, and acts on today's trip and going — but consecutive placed efforts since that sole recent win leave questions, and the 128lb burden from stall 15 asks plenty.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
A prior Ascot win is on the record but SR 80 is the lowest meaningful figure in this field, and form 125-56 shows she's been beaten by horses well below this standard.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 125-56
Showed a flat effort when beaten four and a half lengths in a Listed fillies' contest at Goodwood last time, but was in solid nick before that and acts on this trip and ground; a capable pilot takes the ride from stall 16, though the class of this field makes things tough.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
At 12/1 with an SR of 116 — second only to Venetian Sun — Havana Anna is the most underrated horse on raw performance metrics in this field. The form sequence 1220-1 shows a runner who returned from a break to win, and the OR of 113 sits comfortably in the frame for a competitive Group 1 at this level. K R Burke's stable companion Venetian Sun dominates the headline numbers, but Havana Anna represents a genuine pound-for-value case at double-figure odds for each-way purposes.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 1220-1
Returning to form at just the right moment, Havana Anna took the Lacken Stakes (Group 3) at Naas by a head on her latest start 33 days ago — a tenacious effort that underlines her class at 5-6f on any ground. The unplaced run before that is the chief concern.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 89 and form 13-123 reads as a horse who places but rarely wins at a level below this — 50/1 reflects the assessment accurately.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 13-123
Placed in a Group 3 on her latest start, but that was on cut in the ground and conditions here pose a question; others hold a clear edge on our figures, leaving Kimi Rey tough to fancy despite consistent recent form.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Form 4460-2 shows a horse who has been beaten consistently and whose best result is a placed effort — SR 85 is nowhere near competitive in a Group 1.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 4460-2
Caught close up when beaten a neck in a Group 3 Commonwealth Cup Trial here over today's trip on suitable ground latest, Midnight Tango returns after 49 days yet to score in five recent starts, and carrying 125lb from stall 17, there's more needed to challenge at this level.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
SR 87 and form 041-83 shows a horse who won once and has gone backwards twice since — 40/1 in a Group 1 isn't a value opportunity, it's a fair price.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 041-83
Shaped well when a 4½-length third in the Sandy Lane Stakes last time, and Spicy Marg's record over this trip and going underlines a genuine versatility that keeps her competitive; held-up tactics and a tendency to run her race consistently make her a solid each-way player, though ranking 11 of 22 suggests improvement is needed.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
The headline figure is blunt: SR 124 is not only the top of this card, it stands 8 points clear of the next-best rated horse in the field (Havana Anna at 116), which in a Group 1 sprint is a material gap rather than a rounding error. The OR of 115 confirms the official assessors are in alignment, and the AI rating of 4 stars is the highest in the field. The form reads 113-01, meaning the run marked '0' is the one aberration across five career starts — two of the model lenses independently converged on this horse as their selection, citing exactly that SR dominance and market confidence sitting at 94.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 113-01
Venetian Sun bolted up in a Group 2 last time by three lengths and boasts the class and versatility to go on any ground over today's trip — a 27-day turnaround looks straightforward, and from stall 13 this looks the one to beat.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Oisin Murphy's 22% strike rate flatters a horse whose last run was a '9' — that form figure in a Group 1 field of this quality is a red flag at any price, let alone 18/1.
No career record matched for this runner yet.
Form figures: 121-9
Shaped like a smart filly on her best form — two wins in her last four starts including a runner-up effort — but that ninth last time, beaten nine lengths in a Group 1 at Longchamp on deep ground over a mile, clouds the picture; back to six furlongs from stall 1 in a field of 22 today.
Sectional & in-running data lands here on race day — pace map, stalls in-play, jockey moves.
Mr Fox's four to follow on the ratings ladder. The highest in each row pulls the page-gold treatment.
| Rank | Horse | OFR | RPR | TS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 21 Venetian Sun | 115 | — | — |
| #2 | 17 Havana Anna | 113 | — | — |
| #3 | 10 Outfielder | 108 | — | — |
| #4 | 4 Charles Darwin | 110 | — | — |
Saddle-cloth numbers below — tap any stall to jump straight to the horse's capsule.
Venetian Sun is the most straightforward call in a complex 22-runner field: SR 124 versus a field-best of 116 is not a marginal edge but a structural one, and two of three model lenses reached the same conclusion independently. The 11/8 price reflects her quality but not unreasonably so for a Group 1 favourite with genuine form credentials. Pair her with Havana Anna each-way at 12/1 for the SR-versus-price discrepancy, and those wanting a long-odds dart should look at Outfielder at 20/1 on the back of two consecutive wins and a Wesley Ward prep that tends to peak at this specific meeting. Charles Darwin is the place insurance for those who want exposure without sole reliance on the favourite delivering.
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